It looks pretty good

07 September 2017

Nordea expects the global economy to grow by 3.6 per cent this year, 3.7 per cent in 2018 and 3.6 per cent in 2019, in a new forecast released today. The outlook for the advanced economies looks solid amid uncertainties surrounding Donald Trump’s economic policy, the Brexit negotiations, increasing geopolitical risks and financial market reactions to the expected tightening of monetary policy. Also Emerging Markets seem to be back on a more sustainable growth trajectory, says Helge J. Pedersen, Nordea’s Group Chief Economist. The outlook for the Nordic countries has improved further, and 2017 seems to be the strongest growth year for the region since 2010. Continue reading…

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Federal Reserve Board adopts final rule to enhance financial stability

03 September 2017

The Federal Reserve Board on Friday, 1 September, adopted a final rule to enhance financial stability by requiring U.S. global systemically important banking institutions (GSIBs) and the U.S. operations of foreign GSIBs to amend qualified financial contracts to prevent their immediate cancellation or termination if the firm enters bankruptcy or a resolution process.
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ECB: framework for vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector

01 September 2017

In August 2017 the  European Central Bank (ECB) published the paper ‘Home, safe home: cross-country monitoring framework for vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector’. This paper proposes a framework for monitoring vulnerabilities related to the residential real estate sector in a cross-country context. The framework might be useful for complementing or cross-checking signals available from existing approaches.
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How important is the Global Financial Cycle?

01 September 2017

This paper seeks to measure the importance of the Global Financial Cycle for explaining international capital flows. Hélène Rey and others have argued that capital flows move in unison across countries. They put forward that this is because of financial conditions in key advanced countries – or “centre countries” – such as the United States.
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